Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.376301 0.500326 0.643438 0.818332 1.023849 1.255343 1.533422
2025-11-02 0.210328 0.356463 0.551644 0.819934 1.167809 1.592900 2.140565
2025-11-09 0.107419 0.243491 0.457073 0.786655 1.253479 1.864034 2.695173
2025-11-16 0.062582 0.191028 0.425464 0.823971 1.428292 2.258765 3.433433
2025-11-23 0.032032 0.141928 0.379687 0.825480 1.546553 2.582598 4.097647
2025-11-30 0.019035 0.120354 0.373645 0.885838 1.754005 3.040727 4.965296
2025-12-07 0.009963 0.098325 0.357338 0.922556 1.924530 3.452964 5.786371
2025-12-14 0.004225 0.076660 0.331757 0.934842 2.052923 3.806723 6.536746
2025-12-21 0.001161 0.055654 0.296287 0.918344 2.127556 4.079344 7.177489
2025-12-28 0.000247 0.043461 0.278485 0.933384 2.255540 4.437554 7.953121
2026-01-04 0.000010 0.032515 0.257055 0.934708 2.356425 4.754953 8.675921
2026-01-11 NaN 0.021570 0.225350 0.903506 2.391463 4.965182 9.241326
2026-01-18 NaN 0.013859 0.198792 0.879525 2.439972 5.203853 9.866055
2026-01-25 NaN 0.009723 0.185343 0.886999 2.550906 5.551377 10.670182
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005397 0.160495 0.854710 2.576431 5.753822 11.252922
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004234 0.159910 0.895739 2.758785 6.233139 12.284949
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002582 0.148220 0.898109 2.857441 6.569089 13.096245
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002291 0.154573 0.962487 3.096208 7.159614 14.328216
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001704 0.153721 1.001589 3.280700 7.658519 15.421949
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001017 0.146127 1.014708 3.407038 8.056586 16.359955
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000414 0.131536 0.997294 3.461337 8.325305 17.092007
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000199 0.125922 1.013249 3.594006 8.740173 18.070824
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000061 0.117426 1.014665 3.691419 9.091872 18.950705